Annual producer output inflation down from 2.0% in June, to 1.7% in July

Annual producer input inflation up from -3.0% in June, to -2.4% in July

 

Commenting on the producer price figures for July 2012, published today by the ONS, David Kern, Chief Economist at the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), said:

“The producer price figures are positive overall. Output inflation has decelerated steadily since last September, and the annual rate is at its lowest since 2009. Input inflation has risen in July, but the annual rate is still in negative territory. The figures do highlight some worrying upward pressures on prices, in particular the impact of the US drought on food prices.

“We expect consumer price inflation to continue falling over the next year, which will be good news for the economy. In the face of tough fiscal austerity at home and difficult problems in the eurozone, falling inflation will be key in easing pressures on disposable incomes and underpinning demand in the economy.

“The Monetary Policy Committee should not use additional QE to limit the fall in inflation. In recent years UK inflation has consistently been above the 2% target. A temporary period of inflation lower than this level in 2013 would benefit the economy and should not be resisted. Meanwhile the economic situation remains difficult and businesses as well as consumers are facing major challenges. While the government perseveres with its deficit reduction plan it should act more forecefully to create the right conditions for businesses to grow, through deregulation, and supporting business lending and exports.”

“The Monetary Policy Committee should not use additional QE to limit the fall in inflation. In recent years UK inflation has consistently been above the 2% target. A temporary period of inflation lower than this level in 2013 would benefit the economy and should not be resisted. Meanwhile the economic situation remains difficult and businesses as well as consumers are facing major challenges. While the government perseveres with its deficit reduction plan it should act more forecefully to create the right conditions for businesses to grow, through deregulation, and supporting business lending and exports.”